Tunisia Winter Forecast for This Year

The winter 2026-2027 forecast in Tunisia indicates it will be warmer than usual, with average temperatures surpassing historical norms, particularly from October to December. Nonetheless, the country may experience intermittent periods of heavy and localized rainfall, alongside potential drought spells between weather disturbances. The ongoing El Niño phenomenon, which has persisted since last year, is influencing the climate pattern, with projections suggesting it could continue until February 2027. This may lead to variations in temperatures and rainfall patterns, but is not expected to definitively determine the amount of rainfall or the severity of cold waves. Short-term cold disturbances could cause temporary cold spells. Overall, the season is expected to be unsettled, and sustained cold is unlikely. It remains essential to monitor rainfall distribution and its impact on water resources and infrastructure.

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