Lebanon's Pause Between Conflicts

The author reviews Lebanon's long history of wars and conflicts, from the 1948 war and the trends of external interventions, through the civil war between 1975 and 1990, to the ongoing tensions with Israel, especially the recent escalation in October 2023. He explains that Lebanon has not had real opportunities to benefit from periods of peace to transform the country into a model of development, as Japan and South Korea did, due to sectarian divisions and regional interventions. These issues have led to economic deterioration and ongoing disputes, with the Lebanese economy having suffered losses estimated between $25 billion and $26 billion since 2024. The author raises a question about whether Lebanon could have experienced economic and political development if it had managed to achieve stability and peace, rather than remaining trapped in a cycle of war and conflicts.

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