American diesel: full refineries, low stocks

The U.S. Treasury Department has issued a license allowing the import and sale of Russian diesel until April 2027. This comes as part of an agreement between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, which involves gradually distributing quantities of Russian diesel (initially 300,000 tons immediately, then 500,000 tons in November, followed by more later). The license aims to facilitate supplies and alleviate pressure on the U.S. diesel market, which is experiencing high prices and low inventories despite high American production and a strong net export posture. However, the impact of the Russian diesel quantity remains limited due to the small permitted amounts, as Russia tends to prioritize maintaining its domestic supplies. Meanwhile, the global diesel market faces challenges from declining production and refining crises in certain regions, with forecasts indicating that inventories will remain low and prices high throughout the winter season.

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