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The Copernicus Climate Change Service has said that 2026 is likely to be the second-hottest year on record, with a 20% chance of matching or surpassing 2024 as the hottest. Global warming is almost certain to exceed the 1.5°C threshold above pre-industrial levels this year. October saw warming of 1.75°C, making it the third consecutive month to exceed that threshold. The service attributed the continued exceptional warmth to human-caused warming, with El Niño also contributing—a phenomenon that could make 2027 the hottest year on record.
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