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The article discusses the future of southern Lebanon after the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) mission ends at the end of 2023, amid the lack of an international agreement to extend the mission or establish an alternative. The European Commission has announced a support mission for the Lebanese Armed Forces for three years, aimed at helping to strengthen the army’s control over territories, borders, and internal security, but it is not a replacement for UNIFIL. The withdrawal raises the risk of an security vacuum, especially given Israel’s ongoing occupation of border areas and Lebanon’s limited military capabilities to monitor the borders alone. Experts warn that the absence of international intervention could reduce oversight of Israeli violations, exposing Lebanon to escalation risks. They emphasize that the presence of international forces bolsters Lebanese sovereignty, documents violations, and helps maintain stability in the region.
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