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The article addresses the complex political situation in Israel ahead of the upcoming 26th parliamentary elections scheduled for October 27, 2026. The country is experiencing a structural deadlock, making it difficult to identify a clear majority within the Knesset. Polls show sharp disparities, with party results ranging from a significant lack of votes necessary to form a government with a 61-seat majority, threatening political paralysis and raising the possibility of either forming a unity government or holding new elections. The article also examines Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's strategies of leveraging security and politics to unify the right and maintain power. This includes potential security escalations, despite some experts deeming the short-term impact of such measures as unlikely to be substantial. Furthermore, the piece highlights international interference, especially Trump's support for Netanyahu, internal divisions, and the widening gap among reformist factions. It explores probabilities such as the formation of a national unity government or electoral disruption, with predictions that the ongoing deadlock could lead to inconclusive results, leaving the government in caretaker mode or necessitating repeat elections.
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