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A team of analysts at Bank of America recommended maintaining a risk-averse strategy over the next three to four weeks due to ongoing pressures on high-risk assets resulting from rising real yields to 3%, geopolitical tensions, and weak performance in the AI stocks sector. The report indicated that the Federal Reserve might raise interest rates at its October 28 meeting to curb inflation, which has remained above the 2% target for 66 months. Such a move could reduce Treasury bond yields and halt market declines. Analyses also showed that financial trading is shifting towards lower-weighted sectors, primarily small-cap companies, real estate, and non-essential consumer goods, while maintaining positions in gold, emerging markets, and reducing exposure to bonds and the Chinese market ahead of the upcoming US-China summit. Institutions warn that the performance of semiconductors will serve as a key indicator of market direction in 2027, amid continued AI-related spending and tightening credit conditions linked to it, even as massive financial inflows into global equities reach record levels.
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