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The article discusses the escalating tensions between Iran and the United States, where each side occasionally hints at military escalation and at other times considers de-escalation, while avoiding full-scale confrontation out of fear of heavy losses. It indicates that the Trump administration is pursuing a mixed policy of economic and political pressures combined with a reduced military effort, awaiting the outcomes of the upcoming U.S. and Israeli midterm elections, which could influence the future of negotiations with Iran. The most likely scenarios remain the continuation of mutual deterrence and maintaining sensitive areas such as the Strait of Hormuz, with limited escalation to improve bargaining conditions, without slipping into a full-scale war.
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