Russian exile warns on Putin

The article focuses on a new book by exiled Russian journalist Roman Badanin, in which he traces President Vladimir Putin’s journey from his political rise to his personal life. The book offers an analysis of his decisions and performance in managing the conflict in Ukraine. It explains that Putin entered the war aiming for a quick victory to strengthen his rule, but it evolved into a prolonged struggle that has made retreat more difficult, while also increasing his toughness and capacity to make tough decisions. The book also highlights that Western analyses tend to underestimate Putin's capabilities, and it emphasizes that his reaction to the war reflects a growing sense of threat from opposition forces. His actions may continue to reinforce his grip on power. The author warns against predictions of Russia’s involvement with its allies and its moves eastward, stressing the importance of treating Putin as a difficult political actor.

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