Dollar gains amid Middle East conflict

Military tensions between the United States and Iran have revived concerns over rising oil prices and inflation, leading the US Dollar Index to reach its highest level in two weeks, increasing by 0.11% to 99.76, amid a 70% probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates in September. The euro decreased by 0.16% to $1.1575, with expectations that the European Central Bank will conclude its interest rate hike cycle by the end of the year, potentially widening interest rate differentials in favor of the dollar and putting downward pressure on the euro. The dollar also strengthened against the Japanese yen after expectations of coordinated intervention diminished; meanwhile, efforts by the US and Japan to support the yen have been offset by a lack of progress in de-escalation. Additionally, the US bond market continues to exert pressure on the dollar, as bets on an interest rate hike in the US increase.

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