Netanyahu's gains after Iran conflict

After six months of war, Iran has not retreated as Israel expected; instead, it has become more stubborn and self-assured, despite significant destruction to its infrastructure and nuclear site, which has caused substantial economic losses for Iran. Military operations have not led to a regime change in Iran nor ended its support for anti-Israeli groups, such as Hamas, which launched a major attack in October 2023 resulting in a devastating war in Gaza. Israel now faces two options: either to negotiate a new nuclear agreement that would strengthen Iran or to attempt to weaken it further, with the risk that Iran may seek to acquire nuclear weapons. This latter path is difficult for Israel, especially as American support wanes and international stances fluctuate. Surveys also show that 92% of Israelis believe Iran has gained or benefited from the conflict, while Netanyahu aims to change the Iranian regime through war, employing strategies that include causing massive damage to continue strikes later on.

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