Hezbollah and political trio shape new balances

The current phase requires Hezbollah to reorganize its internal priorities, focusing more on maintaining internal stability and avoiding confrontations with the army, despite ongoing disagreements with political forces regarding the monopoly of weapons by the state. The positions of Jumblatt, the leader of the Free Patriotic Movement, and the Future Movement align with Hezbollah in rejecting Israeli attacks and preventing internal strife, providing a common basis of interest that allows for managing relations among them in a way that supports the balances of the upcoming phase. Although the dispute over weapons persists, Hezbollah differentiates between negotiating demands and internal rejection of confrontation, which explains its restraint in political dealings and the need to avoid internal clashes. While disagreements about the future of the state and weapons remain, the consensus on preventing internal conflict makes these alliances temporary and open to development within a political settlement. The formation of this political consensus serves as a test of its durability and its ability to handle contentious issues without slipping into internal war.

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