Southern indicators suggest prolonged conflict

The article addresses the escalation of the situation in South Lebanon and the developments of a potential war, highlighting three indicators that point to a more complex and prolonged conflict. The first: Israel's advancing into the south, expanding its operations, and targeting broader areas, which increases the circle of danger and extends beyond the border regions. The second: the ongoing negotiations between Lebanon and Israel remain stuck without significant progress, amid rising Israeli rhetoric and the emergence of new threats, which prolongs the conflict and makes reaching an agreement more difficult. The third: Hezbollah's refusal to discuss disarmament, as its stance is linked to the Israeli presence's end, hindering the resolution of the dispute and reducing the chances of a quick settlement. Based on these factors, it is expected that the coming phase will become more sensitive and longer-lasting, with a likelihood of evolving into a wider and more complex war.

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