Hormuz: Ideology and History

The article highlights historical strategies in confronting domination and hegemony by reviewing three key moments in history related to the Strait of Hormuz and the Eastern Mediterranean. It emphasizes the lessons these moments offer regarding the cunning of leaders, the use of power, and the role of doctrine. The article addresses the failure of certain ideological policies, such as the repeated rejection of reconciliation with Rome, the Ottoman imposition of control over the Bosporus Strait, and Iran's attempt to close the Strait of Hormuz as a means of pressure—showing how these policies led to counterproductive results and their effectiveness eroded with repetition. In summary, the article suggests that governments relying on ideological foolishness and zero-sum solutions risk undermining the value and influence of coercive tools. Meanwhile, strategic alternatives are being developed to ensure oil flows via alternative routes. The overarching message is that the cunning of history reveals the fragility of rigid doctrines and the lack of wisdom when policies are repeated without adaptation.

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