Hormuz and Tartus after Assad readjusted influence

The memorandum of understanding between Syria and Russia regarding the management of the Hmeimim and Tartus bases fundamentally changes the nature of Russia's influence in Syria. The agreement has transformed military installations into joint training centers and signaled a decline in Russia's military and political role in the region, with Russia maintaining only a limited role in training without full control over the sites or independent use of aircraft and ships. This comes amid successive Russian losses, beginning with the fall of the Assad regime and the retreat of its military presence; the facts reveal a loss of its military and economic tools, while Washington and Turkey expand their influence in Syria. The agreement sends a clear message: Moscow is gradually relinquishing absolute control, reordering its interests with greater flexibility. At the same time, it opens the field for other countries, such as Turkey and Israel, to establish a more direct presence within the Syrian arena.

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