Sabta and Lebanon: Shared Displacement and Weapon

A massive wave of mass migration broke out to Ceuta after approximately 60,000 migrants crossed over within a few days, representing more than half of the city's population. This resulted in 67 cases of drowning or being pressed during the rush, with half of them voluntarily returning to Morocco. Spain responded immediately by deploying military forces and elevating the state of emergency, while other European countries threatened to tighten border controls or suspend agreements. The reasons behind this wave are attributed to multiple factors, including discrepancies between growth indicators and the actual distribution of wealth in Morocco, the Spanish Prime Minister's visit to Algeria, the Western Sahara issue, upcoming elections, and the exploitation of migration to serve political or economic pressure goals. This pattern of politically exploiting migration is a form of "migrant weaponization," used as a pressure tool against the state and its internal balances. It is a recurring pattern in various parts of the world and reflects institutional weakness and an inability to manage crises directly. Currently, the situation resembles that in Lebanon, which suffers from a long-standing crisis and lacks an effective negotiation framework. Migration is used as a means of political posturing and exerting pressure on internal balances, increasing the severity of the crisis and threatening the stability of the country's sectarian political system.

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