Iran seeks to shift tactics after targeting US bases

Iran's recent attack on American bases in Jordan marks the first direct offensive initiative from Tehran amid the current escalation. It aims to exert political and strategic pressure by attempting to redraw the rules of engagement with the United States. Iran is trying to shift from a defensive stance to taking the initiative in order to increase its leverage and restrict Washington’s control over the timing of confrontation, while also seeking to burden the United States with the costs of ongoing war and drain its resources both politically and militarily. Conversely, the U.S. is carrying out strikes against Iran's allies in Iraq, in coordination with Saudi Arabia, potentially plunging the region into escalation paths that could include retaliatory measures, expanded military operations, or using escalation as a bargaining tool to impose a new negotiating equilibrium and bring an end to the exhaustion.

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