Lebanon Faces New Scenarios Post-UNIFIL

As the mandate of the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) approaches its end in December 2026, the international community is discussing alternative options for the post-withdrawal phase. These include forming a force ranging from 2,000 to 5,500 soldiers led by various countries such as the United States, France, and Turkey, with the aim of supporting the Lebanese army and achieving stability in the south. These options face challenges related to counter-smuggling and disarmament missions, along with concerns over potential clashes with Hezbollah, and shifting positions among countries regarding their leadership and possible roles. The situation remains complex, as the international community seeks to strike a balance between supporting the formation of an international force and maintaining stability in Lebanon, while avoiding a possible escalation of military conflict between Hezbollah and Israel.

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