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Global central banks are facing pressure to raise interest rates due to rising inflation caused by higher oil prices, increased government spending amid the Iran conflict, and investments in the artificial intelligence sector. Bloomberg's forecasts indicate that about two-thirds of markets are hinting at rate hikes, with expectations that increases could exceed 400 basis points over the next year in several countries, including Japan, Canada, the United Kingdom, and the Eurozone. This rise is putting downward pressure on the bond market and leading to a decline in demand for stocks, especially as investors favor fixed-yield bonds, primarily due to concerns about inflation impacting investments. There are growing pressures on Japan and South Korea to raise rates, while the U.S. Federal Reserve remains more cautious due to a slowdown in inflation.
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