The potential threat remains absent

The article examines the nature of American policy towards Iran by analyzing the frequency of threats and cautious statements, which are sometimes followed by negotiation or postponement of decisive action. It highlights the similarity between this approach and the story of the boy who cried wolf, emphasizing the dangers of repeatedly threatening without follow-through, as it can lead the other side to become desensitized and increase the likelihood of a military surprise. The article concludes that the current policy creates an atmosphere of uncertainty, where it is unclear whether the threats are merely intended to pressure or if they will actually be followed by military actions, thereby increasing the risk of an unexpected crisis or catastrophe.

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