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The U.S. Federal Reserve Board, led by Kevin Warsh, is facing difficulties in deciding on the interest rate, amid mounting pressures to either continue raising or hold it steady. These pressures are fueled by rising energy costs and increasing inflation risks. The escalation of tensions between Washington and Iran, along with oil prices exceeding $100 per barrel, combined with increased spending on artificial intelligence and new tariff impositions, have heightened concerns about inflation. This comes at a time when indications suggest there are pressures to raise interest rates, despite calls from Trump and other experts to lower them in order to support economic growth and reduce borrowing costs ahead of the November 2024 parliamentary elections. Opinions within the board vary regarding the future direction of interest rates, with possibilities ranging from maintaining the current rate to raising it. Especially since the continued rise in oil prices could further amplify inflationary pressures and intensify the decision-making challenge.
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