Market Anticipates Fed Rate Hike Amid Oil Rise

Expectations for a US Federal Reserve interest rate hike are increasing as oil prices rise, with the odds of a hike reaching around 82% in September's meeting, up from less than 53% just a week ago. Nevertheless, the Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates between 3.50% and 3.75% at its upcoming meeting, with nearly a 48% chance of a quarter-point increase in September. Oil prices surging to $100 a barrel following attacks between the United States and Iran, along with unemployment benefit claims falling to their lowest level since 1969, support the central bank’s inclination to combat inflation. Meanwhile, rising energy costs pose risks of accelerating inflation and further pressure on the stock market.

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