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الاقتصادية - CNN

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Are Energy Markets Prepared for Threats to Close the Strait of Hormuz?

Are Energy Markets Prepared for Threats to Close the Strait of Hormuz?

The outlook of energy markets regarding the threats to close the Strait of Hormuz has changed; they are no longer just transient geopolitical risks but have become an actual threat to global oil supplies, especially as global stocks decline and safety margins disappear. Despite military escalation and targeted oil tankers, oil prices have stabilized between $75 and $80 per barrel, with slight increases in Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude, while European natural gas prices have hit their highest level in more than three months. The actual closure of the strait for over four months has caused significant market disruptions, with global inventories declining and gas supplies decreasing. Gulf countries are relying on projects aimed at diversifying export routes and reducing dependence on the strait. Experts expect global demand to decline due to tensions, but demand—whether for rebuilding inventories or for commercial purposes—remains supportive of prices, with forecasts suggesting that prices will not return to their pre-crisis levels from several years ago.

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